The Pac-12 race
8 teams · two title-game spots
Looking ahead
WEEK 8 · 2026
Week 8 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 6.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 6; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #23Boise State | 1–0 | 4–1 | 5.5–1.5 | 78% | 48% | 19% |
 Fresno State | 1–0 | 4–1 | 5.4–1.6 | 72% | 38% | 8% |
 San Diego State | 1–0 | 2–3 | 3.7–3.3 | 16% | 4% | <1% |
 Oregon State | 1–0 | 3–2 | 3.6–3.4 | 12% | 3% | <1% |
 Texas State | 0–1 | 2–3 | 3.3–3.7 | 12% | 4% | <1% |
 Washington State | 0–1 | 1–4 | 3.1–3.9 | 8% | 3% | <1% |
 Utah State | 0–1 | 1–4 | 2.3–4.7 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 0–1 | 2–3 | 1.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.