The Conference USA race
10 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
Week 11 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 11.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 11; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 45% | 27% | <1% |
 Liberty | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 37% | 20% | <1% |
 Western Kentucky | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 34% | 17% | <1% |
 Delaware | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 22% | 10% | <1% |
 Florida International | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 17% | 7% | <1% |
 Kennesaw State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–4.0 | 17% | 7% | <1% |
 Missouri State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–3.9 | 16% | 7% | <1% |
 New Mexico State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 6% | 2% | 0% |
 Middle Tennessee | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 6% | 2% | 0% |
 Sam Houston | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.