The Big Ten race
18 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
Week 11 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 11.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 11; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Indiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.0–1.0 | 74% | 55% | 98% |
 Ohio State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.6–2.4 | 32% | 15% | 80% |
 Oregon | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.9–2.1 | 34% | 13% | 70% |
 Penn State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.8–2.2 | 24% | 7% | 46% |
 Iowa | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–2.8 | 16% | 5% | 41% |
 Washington | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–4.0 | 7% | 2% | 23% |
 USC | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–4.0 | 7% | 2% | 24% |
 Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–4.5 | 3% | <1% | 11% |
 Illinois | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
 Wisconsin | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Nebraska | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Minnesota | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Northwestern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Rutgers | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Michigan State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Maryland | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 UCLA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Purdue | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–7.1 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.