USC Trojans
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
7%
Big Ten title game
2%
Win the Big Ten
24%
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat Indiana.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves USC's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
USC at Indiana
Your game. Beat Indiana and your playoff odds are 52%; lose and they drop to 20%.
Indiana 90%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Illinois at UCLA
UCLA visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Illinois 62%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Texas at LSU
LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Texas 60%
62 more games that don't move your needle
Washington at Michigan State
Minnesota at Penn State
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Auburn at Mississippi State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Duke at Miami
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Nebraska at Rutgers
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.