🏈 Fan Watch

#14USC Trojans

1–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2026
Week 1 pregame guide

USC’s defensive depth takes center stage against Fresno State

USC’s Week 1 rooting guide centers on the defensive rotation against Fresno State, with two long-shot results elsewhere.

Read the rooting guide →
Players and staff line the sideline during the 2007 UCLA-USC football game.
USC faces UCLA in 2007.
CreditPhoto creditEric ChanWikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Fresno State at USC
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FOX
Final
Fresno State
Final · Fresno State 0–39 USCWish granted ✓
USC

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result USC wanted
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NBC
Impact 1
Rooted for
Wisconsin
at
Notre Dame
Final · Wisconsin 13–41 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Wisconsin won33% with the other result3.4-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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…
ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Texas State
at
Texas
Final · Texas State 7–59 TexasWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Texas State won33% with the other result2.7-point differenceUSC playoff chance
40 other games had little impact
Massachusetts at Rutgers · BTN
Akron at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
UAB at Illinois · BTN
San José State at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UTEP at Oklahoma · SECN+
Toledo at Michigan State · FS1
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Oregon State at Houston · ESPN
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia · TNT
North Texas at Indiana · FOX
Ohio at Nebraska · FS1
Liberty at James Madison · ESPNU
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh · The CW Network
Ball State at Ohio State · BTN
Kent State at South Carolina · SEC Network
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Boston College at Cincinnati · FOX
Tulane at Duke · ACC Network
Boise State at Oregon · CBS
Marshall at Penn State · FS1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Iowa · BTN
Wyoming at Colorado State · USA Network
Missouri State at Texas A&M · ESPN
Arkansas State at Memphis · ESPN+
Florida International at South Florida · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Troy · ESPN+
Clemson at LSU · ABC
UL Monroe at Mississippi State · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Michigan · NBC
Florida Atlantic at Florida · SEC Network
UNLV at Hawai'i · The CW Network
Central Michigan at New Mexico · FS1
UCLA at California · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Nevada · CBSSN
Washington State at Washington · NBC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
The rooting list was:USC, then Wisconsin, Texas State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (preseason). How the model works.