Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 11 · 2026

27%

Big Ten title game

Win the Big Ten

60%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 9.0

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat Minnesota.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Minnesota at Penn State

Your game. Beat Minnesota and your playoff odds are 63%; lose and they drop to 26%.

Penn State 91%

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

SAT NOV 14

USC at Indiana

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Indiana 85%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Purdue at Iowa

Purdue winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 97%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Northwestern at Ohio State

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Ohio State 97%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Michigan at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 83%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Utah at Arizona

Arizona winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 70%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Texas at LSU

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 63%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Alabama at Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

UAB at Temple

UAB winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Temple 62%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Georgia Southern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia Southern 59%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Illinois at UCLA

UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Illinois 69%

53 more games that don't move your needle

Nebraska at Rutgers

Western Michigan at Akron

Kent State at Bowling Green

Ohio at Miami (OH)

Buffalo at Ball State

Massachusetts at Toledo

Memphis at South Florida

Louisiana at UL Monroe

Florida State at Pittsburgh

Arizona State at UCF

Baylor at BYU

Cincinnati at Iowa State

Houston at Colorado

Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas State at TCU

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

South Carolina at Arkansas

Missouri at Georgia

Florida at Kentucky

Auburn at Mississippi State

Tennessee at Texas A&M

California at Virginia

Duke at Miami

Georgia Tech at Clemson

Louisville at North Carolina

Stanford at Virginia Tech

Syracuse at NC State

Wake Forest at SMU

Wisconsin at Maryland

Washington at Michigan State

Oregon State at Boise State

Utah State at San Diego State

Fresno State at Texas State

Colorado State at Washington State

James Madison at UConn

East Carolina at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa

North Texas at UTSA

Tulane at Rice

Nevada at Northern Illinois

San José State at Air Force

UNLV at New Mexico

Wyoming at UTEP

App State at Marshall

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

New Mexico State at Missouri State

Florida International at Delaware

Middle Tennessee at Liberty

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Troy at South Alabama

Boston College at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.