Penn State Nittany Lions
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 2 · 2026
24%
Big Ten title game
7%
Win the Big Ten
46%
Make the playoff
9%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-2 job: beat Temple.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Penn State at Temple
Your game. Beat Temple and your playoff odds are 47%; lose and they drop to 29%.
Penn State 94%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Oklahoma at Michigan
Michigan visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Michigan 56%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Alabama at Kentucky
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Alabama 71%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Wake Forest at Purdue
Purdue visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Wake Forest 59%
43 more games that don't move your needle
Rutgers at Boston College
Arkansas at Utah
Southern Miss at Auburn
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Missouri at Kansas
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Washington State at Kansas State
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Iowa State at Iowa
UCF at Pittsburgh
Arizona at BYU
California at Syracuse
Duke at Illinois
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Bowling Green at Nebraska
San Diego State at UCLA
Maryland at UConn
Louisiana at USC
Utah State at Washington
Memphis at Boise State
UTSA at Texas State
South Florida at Army
Navy at Florida Atlantic
UNLV at North Texas
Tulsa at Sam Houston
UL Monroe at UAB
App State at East Carolina
South Alabama at Tulane
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Buffalo at Florida International
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Rice at Notre Dame
Ohio State at Texas · ABC
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.