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Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
24%
Big Ten title game
7%
Win the Big Ten
46%
Make the playoff
9%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Washington.
Playoff odds by week
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If Penn State wins out: 30% to win the Big Ten, 98% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Penn State at Washington

Your game. Beat Washington and your playoff odds are 63%; lose and they drop to 30%.

Washington 54%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Maryland at Purdue

Maryland visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Maryland 53%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Iowa at Northwestern

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

Iowa 69%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
UCLA at Minnesota

Minnesota visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Minnesota 75%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 73%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Alabama at LSU

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 55%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Michigan State at Michigan

Michigan State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Michigan 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Rutgers at Wisconsin

Rutgers visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Wisconsin 63%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Oregon at Ohio State

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Ohio State 67%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Oklahoma at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oklahoma 58%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Texas at Missouri

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 54%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Georgia at Ole Miss
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.