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Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-9 job: beat Purdue.
Playoff odds by week
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If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Purdue at Penn State

Your game. Beat Purdue and your playoff odds are 61%; lose and they drop to 27%.

Penn State 97%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Ohio State at USC

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 71%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Minnesota at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Minnesota visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Indiana 97%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Northwestern at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 95%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Wisconsin at Iowa

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 91%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Utah at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Auburn at Ole Miss

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 84%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Mississippi State at Texas

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 90%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Michigan at Rutgers

Rutgers visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Michigan 76%
45 more games that don't move your needle
Illinois at Maryland
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Missouri at Arkansas
Florida at Georgia
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Arizona at Texas Tech
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas at TCU
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Washington at Nebraska
Nevada at UCLA
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.