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Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
24%
Big Ten title game
7%
Win the Big Ten
46%
Make the playoff
9%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-9 job: beat Purdue.
Playoff odds by week
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If Penn State wins out: 30% to win the Big Ten, 98% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Purdue at Penn State

Your game. Beat Purdue and your playoff odds are 47%; lose and they drop to 21%.

Penn State 95%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Minnesota at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Minnesota visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Indiana 97%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Northwestern at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 90%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Ohio State at USC

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Ohio State 62%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Illinois at Maryland

Maryland visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Illinois 57%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Michigan at Rutgers

Rutgers visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Michigan 66%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Wisconsin at Iowa

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

Iowa 88%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Auburn at Ole Miss

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 84%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Washington at Nebraska

Washington visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Washington 65%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Southern Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Southern Miss 61%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Kansas at TCU

Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

TCU 73%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Missouri at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Missouri 54%
42 more games that don't move your needle
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Florida at Georgia
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Arizona at Texas Tech
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Utah at Cincinnati
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Nevada at UCLA
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.