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Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-7 job: beat Michigan.
Playoff odds by week
1234567

If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Penn State at Michigan

Your game. Beat Michigan and your playoff odds are 75%; lose and they drop to 40%.

Penn State 56%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Nebraska at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 94%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida at Texas

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 85%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Utah at Colorado

Colorado winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 92%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Alabama at Tennessee

Tennessee winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 54%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Missouri at Ole Miss

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 78%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida State at Miami

Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 91%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Arizona State at Texas Tech

Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 93%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Arkansas at Vanderbilt

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 86%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
North Carolina at Duke

Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Duke 84%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Ohio State at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 61%
46 more games that don't move your needle
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Auburn at Georgia
Mississippi State at LSU
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Notre Dame at BYU
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Rutgers at Maryland
Northwestern at Michigan State
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Georgia State at James Madison
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.