Penn State Nittany Lions
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
24%
Big Ten title game
7%
Win the Big Ten
46%
Make the playoff
9%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Maryland.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Penn State at Maryland
Your game. Beat Maryland and your playoff odds are 52%; lose and they drop to 17%.
Penn State 83%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Washington at Oregon
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.
Oregon 77%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
West Virginia at Utah
West Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Utah 95%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Michigan at Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ohio State 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
USC at UCLA
UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 81%
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Nebraska at Iowa
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.
Iowa 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Auburn at Alabama
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Alabama 75%
56 more games that don't move your needle
Northwestern at Illinois
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Purdue at Indiana
Michigan State at Rutgers
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.