The CFP race

8Oklahoma10–258%

First round · at the 8 seed

9Alabama10–354%

→

1Indiana13–0100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 8/9

5Oregon11–199%

First round · at the 5 seed

12James Madison12–188%

→

4Texas Tech12–1100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 5/12

6Ole Miss11–197%

First round · at the 6 seed

11Tulane11–297%

→

3Ohio State12–1100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 6/11

7Texas A&M11–162%

First round · at the 7 seed

10Miami10–252%

→

2Georgia12–1100%

Quarterfinal · vs winner of 7/10

#7Texas A&M11–1 · SEC▼ −1pp62%

#8Oklahoma10–2 · SEC58%

#9Alabama10–3 · SEC54%

#10Miami10–2 · ACC52%

#11Notre Dame10–2 · FBS Independents40%

#12BYU11–2 · Big 12▲ +1pp36%

#13Texas9–3 · SEC30%

#14Vanderbilt10–2 · SEC▼ −1pp19%

#15Utah10–2 · Big 1216%

No game this week moves the national race.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 17, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.