#11Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS

In the books

WEEK 17 · 2025

Independent title game

Win the Independent

40%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.4

The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

This week is in the books — the rundown below shows how each wish landed.

Playoff odds by week

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 40% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Notre Dame's odds. Enjoy the football.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 17, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.