#11Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS

In the books

WEEK 16 · 2025

Independent title game

Win the Independent

39%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.3

The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

How the week went: playoff odds 39% → 40%.

Playoff odds by week

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 39% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Notre Dame's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Navy · CBS

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.