Texas Longhorns
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
20%
SEC title game
9%
Win the SEC
27%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 2
Penn State at Northwestern
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Alabama at Mississippi State
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Alabama 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Ohio State at Iowa
Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Ohio State 67%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Auburn at Tennessee
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Tennessee 72%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Georgia 77%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Washington at USC
Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
USC 68%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Arkansas at Texas A&M
SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Texas A&M 86%
48 more games that don't move your needle
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Liberty at Delaware
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
Texas Tech at Colorado
West Virginia at Iowa State
Boston College at SMU
California at UNLV
Louisville at NC State
Miami at Clemson
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Virginia at Florida State
Purdue at Illinois
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Marshall at James Madison
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.