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Texas Longhorns

0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
20%
SEC title game
9%
Win the SEC
27%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-10 job: beat Missouri.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas wins out: 51% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Texas at Missouri

Your game. Beat Missouri and your playoff odds are 38%; lose and they drop to 12%.

Texas 56%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Georgia at Ole Miss

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 53%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Penn State at Washington

Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 57%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Iowa at Northwestern

Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 81%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Alabama at LSU

LSU visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Alabama 66%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 80%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Tulsa at Tulane

Tulane winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Tulane 94%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
BYU at Utah

BYU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 78%
…
…
Miami at Notre Dame

Notre Dame winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Notre Dame 83%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Oregon at Ohio State

Oregon winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 68%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Maryland at Purdue
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.