Texas Longhorns
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
24%
SEC title game
12%
Win the SEC
42%
Make the playoff
12%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Florida.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida at Texas
Your game. Beat Florida and your playoff odds are 46%; lose and they drop to 26%.
Texas 84%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Vanderbilt 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Auburn at Georgia
SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.
Georgia 86%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Ohio State at Indiana
Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Indiana 77%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Missouri at Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; Missouri visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Ole Miss 80%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Alabama at Tennessee
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Mississippi State at LSU
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Notre Dame at BYU
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Utah at Colorado
Florida State at Miami
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
North Carolina at Duke
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Rutgers at Maryland
Penn State at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Georgia State at James Madison
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.