#1Texas Longhorns

4–0 · 1–0 SEC

Up next

WEEK 7 · 2026

The Week 7 job

Beat Florida and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

…

…

TV TBA

SEC title-game chanceNow46%Win49%Loss21%

Florida

Florida 13%Texas 87%

Texas

…

…

TV TBA

Priority 1

Alabama

at

Root for

Tennessee

Root for Tennessee14.3-point title-game boost

Alabama losing would help Texas in the SEC standings; Texas beat Tennessee, so another Tennessee win would strengthen Texas's résumé.

55% if Tennessee wins41% with the other result14-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance

…

…

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Auburn

at

Georgia

Root for Auburn10.7-point title-game boost

Georgia losing would help Texas in the SEC standings.

56% if Auburn wins45% with the other result11-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance

…

…

ESPN

Priority 3

Root for

Florida State

at

Miami

Root for Florida State4.1-point first-round-bye boost

Florida State winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye.

57% if Florida State wins53% with the other result4.1-point differenceTexas first-round bye chance

…

…

ABC

Priority 4

Notre Dame

at

Root for

BYU

Root for BYU3.6-point first-round-bye boost

BYU winning improves your chances of earning a top-four seed and first-round bye.

56% if BYU wins53% with the other result3.6-point differenceTexas first-round bye chance

…

…

ESPN2

Priority 5

Root for

Arkansas

at

Vanderbilt

Root for Arkansas2.5-point title-game boost

Vanderbilt losing would help Texas in the SEC standings; Texas plays Arkansas in week 12, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

48% if Arkansas wins45% with the other result2.5-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance

53 more games that don't move your needle

Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2

East Carolina at UAB · ESPN

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion · ESPN2

Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN

Memphis at Tulane · ESPN

Washington at Purdue · FOX

App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Utah at Colorado

Wake Forest at California

Penn State at Michigan

Nebraska at Oregon

Wisconsin at UCLA

Mississippi State at LSU

Cincinnati at West Virginia · TNT

Kansas at Kansas State · FS1

Pittsburgh at Boston College · ESPN2

Virginia at SMU · The CW Network

Ohio State at Indiana · FOX

Northwestern at Michigan State · Peacock

Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN

Ball State at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Georgia State at James Madison · ESPNU

Rutgers at Maryland · BTN

Charlotte at Temple · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Buffalo · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Missouri at Ole Miss

Arizona State at Texas Tech · FOX

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · ACC Network

North Carolina at Duke · ESPN2

Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network

UNLV at Air Force · CBSSN

Toledo at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+

Akron at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Tulsa at Rice · ESPN+

Troy at Louisiana · ESPN+

Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network

TCU at Baylor · FS1

Kent State at South Florida · ESPN+

Nevada at North Dakota State · CBSSN

Arkansas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Kentucky at Oklahoma · SEC Network

Oklahoma State at Houston · FOX

Louisville at Syracuse · ACC Network

Navy at UTSA · ESPNU

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · ESPN+

San José State at UTEP · MW+

Ohio at Sacramento State · ESPN+

Fresno State at San Diego State · CBSSN

New Mexico at Hawai'i · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.