๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#1Texas Longhorns

2โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2026
The Week 3 recap

Texas beat UTSA. Playoff odds moved from 86% to 89%.

Your game

UTSA at Texas
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Final
UTSA
Final ยท UTSA 6โ€“30 TexasWish granted โœ“
Texas

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas wanted
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Impact 1
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final ยท Georgia 45โ€“17 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.1-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection39% if Arkansas won33% with the other result6.1-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Texas A&M
Final ยท Kentucky 31โ€“21 Texas A&MWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.7-point title-game boost

Texas A&M lost, improving Texas's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection38% if Kentucky won34% with the other result3.7-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Michigan State
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท Michigan State 10โ€“27 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.1-point first-round-bye boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if Michigan State won49% with the other result4.1-point differenceTexas first-round bye chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Mississippi State
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Mississippi State 41โ€“34 South CarolinaWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

South Carolina lost, improving Texas's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection36% if Mississippi State won34% with the other result2.1-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Miami at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Florida at Auburn ยท ESPN
Arizona State at Kansas ยท FS1
SMU at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN
Houston at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Tulane at Kansas State ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State ยท ESPNU
North Carolina at Clemson ยท ESPN
Akron at Minnesota ยท BTN
Kent State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Buffalo at Penn State ยท BTN
North Texas at Texas State ยท USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin ยท Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Temple at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Florida State at Alabama ยท ABC
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Utah State at Utah ยท FOX
UTEP at Michigan ยท BTN
USC at Rutgers ยท CBS
Stanford at Duke ยท The CW Network
Western Kentucky at Indiana ยท Peacock
Ball State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at App State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Troy at Missouri ยท SECN+
Georgia State at UCF ยท ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma ยท ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State ยท CBS
Colorado at Northwestern ยท FOX
West Virginia at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at TCU ยท ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona ยท TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State ยท ESPN
Purdue at UCLA ยท BTN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Texas, then Arkansas, Kentucky, Michigan State, Mississippi State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.