Texas Longhorns
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
24%
SEC title game
12%
Win the SEC
42%
Make the playoff
12%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-6 job: beat Oklahoma.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Texas at Oklahoma
Your game. Beat Oklahoma and your playoff odds are 51%; lose and they drop to 30%.
Texas 60%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Arizona State 82%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Indiana at Nebraska
Nebraska winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Indiana 91%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Tennessee at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Tennessee 58%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
South Carolina at Florida
Florida visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Florida 52%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Texas A&M at Missouri
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Georgia at Alabama
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
LSU at Kentucky
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.