๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#1Texas Longhorns

3โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 4 ยท 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

Texas carries an unsettled passing game and a booted edge rusher into Neyland

What Texas fans should want Saturday in Knoxville and around the SEC.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Texas hosts Florida Atlantic at Darrell K Royalโ€“Texas Memorial Stadium.
Texas hosts Florida Atlantic in Austin.
CreditPhoto creditDave Wilson from Austin, Texas, USAWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Texas at Tennessee
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Final
Texas
Final ยท Texas 20โ€“17 TennesseeWish granted โœ“
Tennessee

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Oklahoma
at
Georgia
Final ยท Oklahoma 13โ€“41 GeorgiaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.8-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Oklahoma won41% with the other result4.8-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Notre Dame
at
Rooted for
Purdue
Final ยท Notre Dame 49โ€“10 PurdueWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.9-point first-round-bye boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Purdue won53% with the other result4.9-point differenceTexas first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
South Carolina
at
Alabama
Final ยท South Carolina 18โ€“49 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.1-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if South Carolina won41% with the other result4.1-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final ยท Ole Miss 28โ€“52 FloridaWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Ole Miss lost, improving Texas's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection45% if Florida won41% with the other result3.8-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
Sam Houston
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท Sam Houston 14โ€“49 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected โ‰ˆ0.3 seed lines

Texas Tech won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

52 other games had little impact
Vanderbilt at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Liberty at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN
Army at Temple ยท ESPN
Navy at UAB ยท ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana ยท FOX
Clemson at California ยท ESPN
Colorado at Baylor ยท ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville ยท ESPN
Illinois at Ohio State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA ยท ESPNU
UNLV at Akron ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland ยท BTN
Northern Illinois at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming ยท The CW Network
TCU at UCF ยท FS1
Utah at Iowa State ยท FOX
Iowa at Michigan ยท CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern ยท ESPNU
Nebraska at Michigan State ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State ยท ERADM
South Florida at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Virginia ยท ACC Network
James Madison at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Miami ยท The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia ยท FS1
Southern Miss at Tulane ยท ESPN+
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Arizona at Washington State ยท CBS
Oregon at USC ยท NBC
Troy at Utah State ยท CBSSN
App State at NC State ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas ยท SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU ยท ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP ยท MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State ยท ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State ยท The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford ยท ESPN
Air Force at Nevada ยท FS1
Minnesota at Washington ยท FOX
The rooting list was:Texas, then Oklahoma, Purdue, South Carolina, Florida, Sam Houston.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.