Texas Longhorns
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
24%
SEC title game
12%
Win the SEC
42%
Make the playoff
12%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Ole Miss.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Ole Miss at Texas
Your game. Beat Ole Miss and your playoff odds are 54%; lose and they drop to 29%.
Texas 53%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Oklahoma 68%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Tennessee at South Carolina
South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
South Carolina 53%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
SEC race: Vanderbilt losing helps your spot in the standings.
Vanderbilt 73%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
LSU at Auburn
LSU visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Auburn 61%
49 more games that don't move your needle
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.