Texas Longhorns
0–0 · 0–0 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
24%
SEC title game
12%
Win the SEC
42%
Make the playoff
12%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat LSU.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Texas at LSU
Your game. Beat LSU and your playoff odds are 54%; lose and they drop to 25%.
Texas 60%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
South Carolina at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
South Carolina 50%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Texas A&M visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Texas A&M 68%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Missouri at Georgia
SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings.
Georgia 82%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Minnesota at Penn State
Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 88%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Utah at Arizona
Arizona winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Utah 64%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ole Miss 56%
TBD
WED NOV 11
Buffalo at Ball State
Buffalo winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Buffalo 63%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Florida at Kentucky
Auburn at Mississippi State
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Duke at Miami
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.