🏈 Fan Watch

#16SMU Mustangs

2–0 · 1–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2026
Week 3 pregame guide

SMU faces a pivotal trip to Louisville

SMU visits Louisville with a major ACC opportunity, while Wake Forest offers the week's biggest potential assist.

Read the rooting guide →
A 1928 newspaper illustration previewing SMU's football game against Army.
A 1928 newspaper preview of SMU against Army.
CreditPhoto creditAssociated Press (photographs), The Tennessean (text)Wikimedia Commons · Public domainResized with full composition preserved, padded to 16:9 and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

SMU at Louisville
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ESPN2
Final
SMU
Final · SMU 31–41 LouisvilleWent the other way ✗
Louisville

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result SMU wanted
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ESPN
Impact 1
Miami
at
Rooted for
Wake Forest
Final · Miami 33–20 Wake ForestWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.0-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection24% if Wake Forest won20% with the other result4-point differenceSMU playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Pittsburgh
Final · Syracuse 13–27 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

Pittsburgh won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Syracuse won46% with the other result3.5-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
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ESPNU
Impact 3
Rooted for
Bowling Green
at
Iowa State
Final · Bowling Green 7–55 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Iowa State won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Bowling Green won21% with the other result1.8-point differenceSMU playoff chance
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ACC Network
Impact 4
Rooted for
West Virginia
at
Virginia
Final · West Virginia 38–27 VirginiaWish granted ✓
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Virginia lost, improving SMU's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection48% if West Virginia won46% with the other result2-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Houston at Texas Tech · FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware · CBSSN
Georgia at Arkansas · ABC
Tulane at Kansas State · ESPN2
Arizona State at Kansas · FS1
North Carolina at Clemson · ESPN
Akron at Minnesota · BTN
Kent State at Ohio State · FOX
Buffalo at Penn State · BTN
North Texas at Texas State · USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Temple at Toledo · CBSSN
Florida State at Alabama · ABC
Kentucky at Texas A&M · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Utah State at Utah · FOX
UTEP at Michigan · BTN
USC at Rutgers · CBS
Stanford at Duke · The CW Network
Western Kentucky at Indiana · Peacock
Ball State at Liberty · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor · ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina · SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Charlotte at App State · ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State · CBSSN
Florida at Auburn · ESPN
Troy at Missouri · SECN+
Georgia State at UCF · ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice · ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma · ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State · CBS
Colorado at Northwestern · FOX
Virginia Tech at Maryland · FS1
Michigan State at Notre Dame · NBC
Kennesaw State at Tennessee · SEC Network
UTSA at Texas · SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU · ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana · ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State · The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona · TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State · ESPN
Purdue at UCLA · BTN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
The rooting list was:SMU, then Wake Forest, Syracuse, Bowling Green, West Virginia.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.