SMU Mustangs
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
49%
ACC title game
23%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat Boston College.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Boston College at SMU
Your game. Beat Boston College and your playoff odds are 24%; lose and they drop to 7%.
SMU 93%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Miami at Clemson
Clemson winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 64%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 2
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Pittsburgh 68%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Louisville at NC State
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.
Louisville 65%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Virginia at Florida State
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Penn State at Northwestern
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
Texas Tech at Colorado
West Virginia at Iowa State
California at UNLV
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Purdue at Illinois
Ohio State at Iowa
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Marshall at James Madison
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.