🏈 Fan Watch

SMU Mustangs

00 · 00 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
44%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Stanford.
Playoff odds by week

If SMU wins out: 50% to win the ACC, 82% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves SMU's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
SMU at Stanford

Your game. Beat Stanford and your playoff odds are 27%; lose and they drop to 8%.

SMU 80%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Boston College at Miami

ACC race: Miami losing helps your spot in the standings.

Miami 94%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Pittsburgh at California

ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings.

Pittsburgh 61%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Duke at Wake Forest

ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.

Wake Forest 53%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
NC State at North Carolina

ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings.

NC State 63%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Virginia at Virginia Tech

ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Virginia 61%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Louisville at Kentucky

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Louisville 54%
56 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Nebraska at Iowa
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Northwestern at Illinois
Purdue at Indiana
Penn State at Maryland
Michigan at Ohio State
Washington at Oregon
Michigan State at Rutgers
USC at UCLA
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.