SMU Mustangs
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
44%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Virginia Tech.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
TBD
FRI NOV 6
Virginia Tech at SMU
Your game. Beat Virginia Tech and your playoff odds are 25%; lose and they drop to 9%.
SMU 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Louisville at Georgia Tech
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.
Louisville 53%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Clemson at Syracuse
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings.
Clemson 83%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Florida State at Boston College
Boston College winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Florida State 56%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Georgia at Ole Miss
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Duke at NC State
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Iowa at Northwestern
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.