SMU Mustangs
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
44%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Virginia.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Virginia at SMU
Your game. Beat Virginia and your playoff odds are 27%; lose and they drop to 9%.
SMU 77%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida State at Miami
Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Louisville at Syracuse
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; Syracuse visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Louisville 82%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Pittsburgh at Boston College
ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings.
Pittsburgh 61%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Georgia Tech 57%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
North Carolina at Duke
ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.
Duke 82%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Auburn at Georgia
Mississippi State at LSU
Missouri at Ole Miss
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Alabama at Tennessee
Florida at Texas
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Notre Dame at BYU
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Utah at Colorado
Wake Forest at California
Ohio State at Indiana
Rutgers at Maryland
Penn State at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Georgia State at James Madison
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.