#24SMU Mustangs

4–1 · 2–1 ACC

Up next

WEEK 7 · 2026

The Week 7 job

Beat Virginia and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

…

…

The CW Network

ACC title-game chanceNow32%Win41%Loss9%

Virginia

Virginia 28%SMU 72%

SMU

…

…

ESPN2

Priority 1

Pittsburgh

at

Root for

Boston College

Root for Boston College9.0-point title-game boost

Pittsburgh losing would help SMU in the ACC standings; SMU beat Boston College, so another Boston College win would strengthen SMU's résumé.

39% if Boston College wins30% with the other result9-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

…

…

ESPN2

Priority 2

Root for

North Carolina

at

Duke

Root for North Carolina4.9-point title-game boost

Duke losing would help SMU in the ACC standings.

36% if North Carolina wins31% with the other result4.9-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

…

…

ACC Network

Priority 3

Louisville

at

Root for

Syracuse

Root for Syracuse3.3-point title-game boost

Louisville losing would help SMU in the ACC standings; Louisville losing would soften the effect of SMU's loss to them; SMU plays Syracuse in week 9, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

35% if Syracuse wins32% with the other result3.3-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

…

…

ESPN

Priority 4

Root for

Florida State

at

Miami

Root for Florida State1.5-point playoff boost

SMU beat Florida State, so another Florida State win would strengthen SMU's résumé.

10% if Florida State wins8% with the other result1.5-point differenceSMU playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 17

TV TBA

Priority 5

Wake Forest

at

Root for

California

Root for California2.2-point title-game boost

Wake Forest losing would help SMU in the ACC standings; SMU plays California in week 8, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

34% if California wins32% with the other result2.2-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

53 more games that don't move your needle

San José State at UTEP · MW+

Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2

East Carolina at UAB · ESPN

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion · ESPN2

Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN

Memphis at Tulane · ESPN

Washington at Purdue · FOX

App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Utah at Colorado

Penn State at Michigan

Nebraska at Oregon

Wisconsin at UCLA

Mississippi State at LSU

Florida at Texas

Cincinnati at West Virginia · TNT

Kansas at Kansas State · FS1

Ohio State at Indiana · FOX

Northwestern at Michigan State · Peacock

Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN

Ball State at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Georgia State at James Madison · ESPNU

Rutgers at Maryland · BTN

Charlotte at Temple · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Buffalo · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Auburn at Georgia

Missouri at Ole Miss

Alabama at Tennessee

Arizona State at Texas Tech · FOX

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · ACC Network

Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network

UNLV at Air Force · CBSSN

Toledo at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+

Akron at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Tulsa at Rice · ESPN+

Troy at Louisiana · ESPN+

Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network

Arkansas at Vanderbilt · ESPN2

TCU at Baylor · FS1

Kent State at South Florida · ESPN+

Nevada at North Dakota State · CBSSN

Arkansas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Kentucky at Oklahoma · SEC Network

Notre Dame at BYU · ABC

Oklahoma State at Houston · FOX

Navy at UTSA · ESPNU

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Ohio at Sacramento State · ESPN+

Fresno State at San Diego State · CBSSN

New Mexico at Hawai'i · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.