SMU Mustangs
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
44%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat Wake Forest.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Wake Forest at SMU
Your game. Beat Wake Forest and your playoff odds are 26%; lose and they drop to 9%.
SMU 83%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Duke at Miami
Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Louisville at North Carolina
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.
Louisville 74%
TBD
FRI NOV 13
Florida State at Pittsburgh
ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings.
Pittsburgh 66%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Syracuse at NC State
ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings.
NC State 87%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Georgia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Clemson 73%
59 more games that don't move your needle
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Texas at LSU
Auburn at Mississippi State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Stanford at Virginia Tech
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Minnesota at Penn State
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.