SMU Mustangs
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
44%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
23%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-9 job: beat Syracuse.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
SMU at Syracuse
Your game. Beat Syracuse and your playoff odds are 25%; lose and they drop to 8%.
SMU 87%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Miami at North Carolina
North Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 88%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Stanford at Louisville
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; Stanford visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Louisville 87%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Boston College at Duke
ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.
Duke 80%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
California at NC State
ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings.
NC State 79%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Clemson at Florida State
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings.
Clemson 56%
48 more games that don't move your needle
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Missouri at Arkansas
Virginia at Wake Forest
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Florida at Georgia
Auburn at Ole Miss
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Arizona at Texas Tech
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas at TCU
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Utah at Cincinnati
Minnesota at Indiana
Wisconsin at Iowa
Illinois at Maryland
Washington at Nebraska
Northwestern at Oregon
Purdue at Penn State
Michigan at Rutgers
Nevada at UCLA
Ohio State at USC
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.