The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
Week 10 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 10.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 10; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 8.0–1.0 | 78% | 52% | 67% |
 Utah | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.1–1.9 | 54% | 29% | 43% |
 BYU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–3.4 | 17% | 6% | 8% |
 Kansas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.5–3.5 | 11% | 3% | 4% |
 Arizona | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–4.3 | 8% | 3% | 4% |
 TCU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–4.3 | 8% | 2% | 3% |
 Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–4.0 | 8% | 2% | 2% |
 Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–4.2 | 5% | 1% | 2% |
 UCF | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–4.9 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Houston | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.6–5.4 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Kansas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 West Virginia | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–6.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.7–7.3 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.