The Mid-American race
12 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
Week 10 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 10.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 10; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–1.6 | 51% | 32% | 2% |
 Ohio | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.3–1.7 | 50% | 28% | 1% |
 Western Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–2.4 | 43% | 22% | <1% |
 Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 27% | 10% | <1% |
 Buffalo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–3.7 | 12% | 4% | <1% |
 Bowling Green | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–3.5 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Central Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–3.9 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Eastern Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–3.8 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Akron | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 3% | <1% | 0% |
 Ball State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–4.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Massachusetts | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.