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Utah Utes

00 · 00 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
54%
Big 12 title game
29%
Win the Big 12
43%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat BYU.
Playoff odds by week

If Utah wins out: 55% to win the Big 12, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
BYU at Utah

Your game. Beat BYU and your playoff odds are 50%; lose and they drop to 22%.

Utah 78%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT NOV 7
West Virginia at Texas Tech

West Virginia visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Texas Tech 96%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Iowa at Northwestern

Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 69%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Penn State at Washington

Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Washington 54%
57 more games that don't move your needle
Colorado at Arizona State
UCF at Kansas
TCU at Arizona
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Georgia at Ole Miss
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
Cincinnati at Houston
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.