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Utah Utes

00 · 00 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
54%
Big 12 title game
29%
Win the Big 12
43%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Houston.
Playoff odds by week

If Utah wins out: 55% to win the Big 12, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Houston at Utah

Your game. Beat Houston and your playoff odds are 46%; lose and they drop to 22%.

Utah 89%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Texas Tech at Cincinnati

Cincinnati visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Texas Tech 83%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Iowa at Minnesota

Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 74%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
BYU at UCF

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play BYU in week 10.

BYU 65%
50 more games that don't move your needle
West Virginia at TCU
Baylor at Kansas
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.