๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#13Utah Utes

4โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
The Week 5 recap

Utah's bye arrives with one flaw Scalley keeps naming himself

Utah won 31-17 at Iowa State to reach 4-0, but eight penalties for 69 yards extended a complaint Morgan Scalley has made four weeks running. Plus four Week 5 games worth watching.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Utah faces BYU at Rice-Eccles Stadium in 2024.
Utah faces BYU at Rice-Eccles Stadium in 2024.
CreditPhoto creditUtah Army National Guard photo by Sgt. Ian TracyWikimedia Commons ยท Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Utah wanted
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Impact 1
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Texas Tech 29โ€“7 ColoradoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.6-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection69% if Colorado won64% with the other result5.6-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 2
BYU
at
Rooted for
TCU
Final ยท BYU 17โ€“10 TCUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection83% if TCU won79% with the other result3.8-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 3
Notre Dame
at
Rooted for
North Carolina
Final ยท Notre Dame 37โ€“26 North CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.1-point first-round-bye boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if North Carolina won14% with the other result3.1-point differenceUtah first-round bye chance
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Impact 4
UCF
at
Rooted for
Houston
Final ยท UCF 17โ€“27 HoustonWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

UCF lost, improving Utah's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection81% if Houston won79% with the other result2.2-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
West Virginia at Iowa State ยท TNT
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Utah State at Boise State ยท CBSSN
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers ยท BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State ยท USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Utah is off, then Colorado, TCU, North Carolina, Houston.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.