
Utah Utes
0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
58%
Big 12 title game
24%
Win the Big 12
62%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.6
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat Idaho.
If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Utah's pathYour game
TBD
Idaho at Utah
Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Northern Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Iowa 97%
Root for Northern Illinois+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss
Louisville winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Ole Miss 73%
Root for Louisville+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Miami at Stanford
Stanford winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Miami 92%
Root for Stanford+2.0 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Texas State at Texas
Texas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Texas 87%
Root for Texas State+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
SMU at Florida State
Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
SMU 73%
Root for Florida State+1.3 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
Fresno State at USC
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
North Texas at Indiana
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.