🏈 Fan Watch

South Florida Bulls

4–0 · 1–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

USF is 4-0 and its quarterback still hasn't found steady ground

Van Buren's 52-yard, six-sack, two-fumble night is the real story of USF's 14-6 win at Bowling Green, and Temple visits Raymond James on Saturday.

Read the rooting guide →
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown throws against Navy.
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown faces Navy.
CreditPhoto creditMaryland GovPicsWikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Temple at South Florida
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ESPNU
Final
Temple
Final · Temple 17–13 South FloridaWent the other way ✗
South Florida

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result South Florida wanted
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ESPN
Impact 1
North Texas
at
Rooted for
Tulsa
Final · North Texas 45–44 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

North Texas won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if Tulsa won61% with the other result3.5-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
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ESPN+
Impact 2
Memphis
at
Rooted for
Charlotte
Final · Memphis 59–8 CharlotteWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if Charlotte won61% with the other result3.4-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
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CBSSN
Impact 3
Rooted for
Utah State
at
Boise State
Final · Utah State 18–37 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Boise State won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Utah State won10% with the other result2-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 4
UTSA
at
Rooted for
Rice
Final · UTSA 16–14 RiceWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

UTSA won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection64% if Rice won61% with the other result2.6-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
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CBSSN
Impact 5
Liberty
at
Rooted for
Delaware
Final · Liberty 30–14 DelawareWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Liberty won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Delaware won10% with the other result1.4-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
50 other games had little impact
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Alabama at Mississippi State · ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison · ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:South Florida, then Tulsa, Charlotte, Utah State, Rice, Delaware.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.