South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 14 · 2026

44%

American title game

27%

Win the American

16%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 10.8

Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.

If South Florida wins out: 65% to win the American, 59% to make the playoff.

Championship week

matchups are decided by the standings

American Athletic Championship GameFri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts

South FloridavsNorth TexasYou're in this one13%

South FloridavsUTSAYou're in this one9%

South FloridavsNavyYou're in this one7%

North TexasvsUTSA6%

North TexasvsArmy5%

Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. South Florida plays in this game in 44% of the way-too-early sims.

The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.