🏈 Fan Watch

South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2026
Week 1 pregame guide

Raymond James’ first goodbye brings FIU back

Root for USF to set the tone in Brian Hartline’s debut, then keep a measured eye on two national playoff competitors.

Read the rooting guide →
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown throws against Navy.
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown faces Navy.
CreditPhoto creditMaryland GovPicsWikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Florida International at South Florida
…
…
ESPN+
Final
Florida International
Final · Florida International 9–19 South FloridaWish granted ✓
South Florida

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result South Florida wanted
…
…
ABC
Impact 1
Rooted for
East Carolina
at
Alabama
Final · East Carolina 10–48 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if East Carolina won18% with the other result1.6-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
…
…
BTN
Impact 2
Massachusetts
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final · Massachusetts 37–21 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Massachusetts won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if Rutgers won17% with the other result1.5-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
40 other games had little impact
Akron at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
UAB at Illinois · BTN
San José State at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UTEP at Oklahoma · SECN+
Toledo at Michigan State · FS1
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at USC · FOX
Oregon State at Houston · ESPN
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia · TNT
North Texas at Indiana · FOX
Ohio at Nebraska · FS1
Liberty at James Madison · ESPNU
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh · The CW Network
Ball State at Ohio State · BTN
Kent State at South Carolina · SEC Network
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Texas State at Texas · ESPN
Boston College at Cincinnati · FOX
Tulane at Duke · ACC Network
Boise State at Oregon · CBS
Marshall at Penn State · FS1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Iowa · BTN
Wyoming at Colorado State · USA Network
Missouri State at Texas A&M · ESPN
Arkansas State at Memphis · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Troy · ESPN+
Clemson at LSU · ABC
UL Monroe at Mississippi State · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Michigan · NBC
Florida Atlantic at Florida · SEC Network
UNLV at Hawai'i · The CW Network
Central Michigan at New Mexico · FS1
UCLA at California · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Nevada · CBSSN
Washington State at Washington · NBC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Wisconsin at Notre Dame · NBC
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
The rooting list was:South Florida, then East Carolina, Rutgers.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (preseason). How the model works.