๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

South Florida Bulls

3โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 4 ยท 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

USF is 3-0 and Hartline is still mad about the first half

The Bulls scored 59 on Delaware State and their coach said they lost half a game. Bowling Green's run defense is the place to fix that.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown throws against Navy.
South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown faces Navy.
CreditPhoto creditMaryland GovPicsWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

South Florida at Bowling Green
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Final
South Florida
Final ยท South Florida 14โ€“6 Bowling GreenWish granted โœ“
Bowling Green

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result South Florida wanted
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Impact 1
James Madison
at
Rooted for
Old Dominion
Final ยท James Madison 46โ€“20 Old DominionWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.2-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Old Dominion won17% with the other result3.2-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
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Impact 2
Liberty
at
Rooted for
Coastal Carolina
Final ยท Liberty 34โ€“17 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Liberty won instead, so South Florida did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Coastal Carolina won17% with the other result2.6-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
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Impact 3
Colorado State
at
Rooted for
UTSA
Final ยท Colorado State 45โ€“59 UTSAWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

UTSA won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 6 game against South Florida.

Entering-week projection18% if UTSA won16% with the other result2.5-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
54 other games had little impact
Army at Temple ยท ESPN
Navy at UAB ยท ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana ยท FOX
Clemson at California ยท ESPN
Texas at Tennessee ยท ABC
Sam Houston at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Colorado at Baylor ยท ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville ยท ESPN
Illinois at Ohio State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Toledo ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Akron ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland ยท BTN
Notre Dame at Purdue ยท Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming ยท The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia ยท ESPN
TCU at UCF ยท FS1
Utah at Iowa State ยท FOX
Iowa at Michigan ยท CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern ยท ESPNU
Vanderbilt at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State ยท ERADM
Delaware at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Central Michigan at Miami ยท The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia ยท FS1
Southern Miss at Tulane ยท ESPN+
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Arizona at Washington State ยท CBS
Oregon at USC ยท NBC
Troy at Utah State ยท CBSSN
App State at NC State ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas ยท SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU ยท ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP ยท MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State ยท ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State ยท The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford ยท ESPN
Air Force at Nevada ยท FS1
Minnesota at Washington ยท FOX
The rooting list was:South Florida, then Old Dominion, Coastal Carolina, UTSA.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.