Priority 1
Root for
Stanford
Notre Dame
Root for Stanford5.4-point playoff boost
Stanford winning would remove some at-large competition for South Florida.
10% if Stanford wins5% with the other result5.4-point differenceSouth Florida playoff chance
South Florida Bulls
4–1 · 1–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
This week
WEEK 6 · 2026
The Week 6 job
USF's offense scored one touchdown against Temple and now gets the Alamodome
Michael Van Buren Jr. threw for 205 yards without a touchdown in a 17-13 loss to Temple. Thursday at UTSA asks whether USF can finish drives on the road.
Read the rooting guide →
Credit
Photo creditMaryland GovPicsWikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.Your game
South Florida at UTSAAmerican title-game chanceNow32%Win47%Loss15%
South Florida
South Florida 55%UTSA 45%
UTSA
Other impactful games
the highlighted team is the result South Florida wantsPriority 2
Root for
Charlotte
North Texas
Root for Charlotte8.2-point title-game boost
North Texas losing would help South Florida in the American Athletic standings.
40% if Charlotte wins32% with the other result8.2-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
Priority 3
Root for
UAB
Memphis
Root for UAB3.7-point title-game boost
Memphis losing would help South Florida in the American Athletic standings; South Florida plays UAB in week 9, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.
35% if UAB wins32% with the other result3.7-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
Priority 4
Root for
Rice
East Carolina
Root for Rice1.9-point title-game boost
East Carolina losing would help South Florida in the American Athletic standings; South Florida still plays East Carolina in week 10.
34% if Rice wins32% with the other result1.9-point differenceSouth Florida American title-game chance
53 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Florida International · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Liberty · ESPNU
Missouri State at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
South Alabama at Arkansas State · ESPN2
Florida State at Louisville · ESPN
Iowa at Washington
Washington State at Utah State · The CW Network
Wyoming at San José State · CBSSN
Iowa State at BYU · ESPN
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Arizona at West Virginia · truTV
UCF at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
North Carolina at Pittsburgh · ESPN
Wake Forest at NC State · The CW Network
Indiana at Nebraska · FOX
Tulane at Army · CBSSN
Sacramento State at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Ball State at Northwestern · BTN
South Carolina at Florida · SEC Network
Old Dominion at App State · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Texas at Oklahoma · ABC
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Houston at Kansas State · FOX
Duke at Georgia Tech · ESPN2
Virginia Tech at California · ACC Network
Illinois at Michigan State · FS1
UCLA at Oregon · CBS
Tulsa at Navy · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Toledo · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Ohio · ESPN+
Kent State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
UConn at Temple · ESPNU
Tennessee at Arkansas · SEC Network
Maryland at Ohio State · BTN
San Diego State at Oregon State · USA Network
LSU at Kentucky · ESPN
Nevada at UTEP · FS1
North Dakota State at UNLV · The CW Network
Coastal Carolina at Marshall · ESPN+
Georgia at Alabama · ABC
Syracuse at Virginia · ACC Network
USC at Penn State · NBC
Air Force at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia Southern · ESPNU
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Minnesota at Purdue · BTN
Hawai'i at Arizona State · FS1
Kansas at Utah · ESPN
Boise State at Fresno State · The CW Network
Your rooting list:South Florida, then Stanford, Charlotte, UAB, Rice.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.