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South Florida Bulls

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
44%
American title game
27%
Win the American
16%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Tulane.
Playoff odds by week
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If South Florida wins out: 65% to win the American, 59% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves South Florida's path
Your game
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Tulane at South Florida

Your game. Beat Tulane and your playoff odds are 20%; lose and they drop to 4%.

South Florida 76%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Army at Rice

American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings.

Army 82%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
UAB at North Texas

American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

North Texas 91%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Boston College at Miami

Boston College winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 94%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Coastal Carolina at James Madison

Coastal Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

James Madison 96%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Tulsa at UTSA

American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings.

UTSA 92%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Navy at Charlotte

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings.

Navy 82%
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

East Carolina 87%
55 more games that don't move your needle
Temple at Memphis
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Nebraska at Iowa
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Purdue at Indiana
Penn State at Maryland
Michigan at Ohio State
Washington at Oregon
Michigan State at Rutgers
USC at UCLA
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.