South Florida Bulls
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 12 · 2026
44%
American title game
27%
Win the American
16%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.8
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-12 job: beat Florida Atlantic.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves South Florida's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 21
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Your game. Beat Florida Atlantic and your playoff odds are 18%; lose and they drop to 5%.
South Florida 84%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 21
North Texas at Tulane
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulane visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Tulane 50%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
UTSA at UAB
American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings.
UTSA 78%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Old Dominion at UConn
UConn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
UConn 69%
61 more games that don't move your needle
UNLV at San José State
Ball State at Ohio
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Kent State
Akron at Massachusetts
Bowling Green at Toledo
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Rice at Temple
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Clemson at Duke
Oregon at Michigan State
Vanderbilt at Florida
Kentucky at Missouri
Texas A&M at Oklahoma
Georgia at South Carolina
LSU at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas
Arizona at Kansas State
BYU at Kansas
Colorado at Cincinnati
Houston at West Virginia
Iowa State at UCF
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Baylor
Utah at TCU
Virginia Tech at Miami
NC State at Florida State
North Carolina at Virginia
Pittsburgh at Louisville
Stanford at California
Syracuse at Boston College
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
Iowa at Illinois
UCLA at Michigan
Northwestern at Minnesota
Ohio State at Nebraska
Rutgers at Penn State
Wisconsin at Purdue
Maryland at USC
Indiana at Washington
Colorado State at Fresno State
Utah State at Oregon State
Washington State at Texas State
San Diego State at Boise State
East Carolina at Army
Charlotte at Tulsa
Memphis at Navy
Hawai'i at Nevada
New Mexico at Wyoming
UTEP at Air Force
UL Monroe at App State
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Troy
Georgia State at Marshall
Delaware at New Mexico State
Florida International at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Liberty
Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston
South Alabama at Southern Miss
SMU at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.