๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

James Madison Dukes

3โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 4 ยท 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

Napier liked the 19-0 lead and not much else about how JMU got there

James Madison is 3-0 and a heavy favorite at Old Dominion, but the Dukes' own coach spent Saturday night talking about red-zone penalties and sacks.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Bridgeforth Stadium, home to James Madison University's football team.
Bridgeforth Stadium, home to James Madison University's football team.
CreditPhoto creditQuintin SolovievWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

James Madison at Old Dominion
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Final
James Madison
Final ยท James Madison 46โ€“20 Old DominionWish granted โœ“
Old Dominion

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result James Madison wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Liberty
at
Rooted for
Coastal Carolina
Final ยท Liberty 34โ€“17 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.4-point playoff boost

Liberty won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Coastal Carolina won34% with the other result4.4-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
South Florida
at
Rooted for
Bowling Green
Final ยท South Florida 14โ€“6 Bowling GreenWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.3-point playoff boost

South Florida won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Bowling Green won34% with the other result4.3-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 3
Rooted for
UConn
at
Miami (OH)
Final ยท UConn 21โ€“24 Miami (OH)Went the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Miami (OH) won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if UConn won33% with the other result2.3-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 4
Rooted for
App State
at
NC State
Final ยท App State 31โ€“41 NC StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

NC State won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if App State won34% with the other result1.9-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 5
Rooted for
Southern Miss
at
Tulane
Final ยท Southern Miss 21โ€“24 TulaneWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Tulane won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Southern Miss won34% with the other result1.9-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 6
Rooted for
Troy
at
Utah State
Final ยท Troy 10โ€“21 Utah StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Utah State won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Troy won33% with the other result1.5-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
51 other games had little impact
Houston at Georgia Southern ยท ESPNU
Army at Temple ยท ESPN
Navy at UAB ยท ESPN
Northwestern at Indiana ยท FOX
Clemson at California ยท ESPN
Texas at Tennessee ยท ABC
Sam Houston at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Colorado at Baylor ยท ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville ยท ESPN
Illinois at Ohio State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Toledo ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA ยท ESPNU
UNLV at Akron ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
UCLA at Maryland ยท BTN
Notre Dame at Purdue ยท Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming ยท The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia ยท ESPN
TCU at UCF ยท FS1
Utah at Iowa State ยท FOX
Iowa at Michigan ยท CBS
Boise State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Penn State ยท ERADM
Delaware at Virginia ยท ACC Network
Central Michigan at Miami ยท The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Arizona at Washington State ยท CBS
Oregon at USC ยท NBC
Missouri at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas ยท SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU ยท ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP ยท MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State ยท ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State ยท The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford ยท ESPN
Air Force at Nevada ยท FS1
Minnesota at Washington ยท FOX
The rooting list was:James Madison, then Coastal Carolina, Bowling Green, UConn, App State, Southern Miss, Troy.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.