James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Georgia State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Georgia State at James Madison
Your game. Beat Georgia State and your playoff odds are 37%; lose and they drop to 17%.
James Madison 97%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU OCT 15
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Sun Belt race: Old Dominion losing helps your spot in the standings.
Old Dominion 85%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Sun Belt race: Louisiana Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Louisiana Tech 73%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Washington State at Oregon State
Oregon State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Washington State 72%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Sun Belt race: Arkansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; Southern Miss visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Southern Miss 58%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Troy at Louisiana
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
East Carolina at UAB
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Auburn at Georgia
Mississippi State at LSU
Missouri at Ole Miss
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Alabama at Tennessee
Florida at Texas
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Notre Dame at BYU
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Utah at Colorado
Florida State at Miami
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
North Carolina at Duke
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Ohio State at Indiana
Rutgers at Maryland
Penn State at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Florida Atlantic at Army
Charlotte at Temple
Navy at UTSA
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.