Priority 1
New Mexico
Root for
Hawai'i
Root for Hawai'i2.4-point playoff boost
Hawai'i winning would remove some at-large competition for James Madison.
32% if Hawai'i wins29% with the other result2.4-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
James Madison Dukes
5–0 · 2–0 SUN BELT
Up next
WEEK 7 · 2026
The Week 7 job
Beat Georgia State and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.
Your game
Georgia State at James Madisonplayoff chanceNow30%Win31%Loss7%
Georgia State
Georgia State 6%James Madison 94%
James Madison
Other impactful games
the highlighted team is the result James Madison wants…
…
TV TBA
Priority 2
Florida
Root for
Texas
Root for Texas1.9-point playoff boost
Texas winning would remove some at-large competition for James Madison.
30% if Texas wins28% with the other result1.9-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
Priority 3
Fresno State
Root for
San Diego State
Root for San Diego State1.8-point playoff boost
James Madison beat San Diego State, so another San Diego State win would strengthen James Madison's résumé.
31% if San Diego State wins29% with the other result1.8-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
Priority 4
Georgia Southern
Root for
Old Dominion
Root for Old Dominion2.2-point title-game boost
Georgia Southern losing would help James Madison in the Sun Belt standings; James Madison beat Old Dominion, so another Old Dominion win would strengthen James Madison's résumé.
96% if Old Dominion wins94% with the other result2.2-point differenceJames Madison Sun Belt title-game chance
54 more games that don't move your needle
App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN
Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2
East Carolina at UAB · ESPN
Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN
Memphis at Tulane · ESPN
Washington at Purdue · FOX
Utah at Colorado
Wake Forest at California
Penn State at Michigan
Nebraska at Oregon
Wisconsin at UCLA
Mississippi State at LSU
Cincinnati at West Virginia · TNT
Kansas at Kansas State · FS1
Pittsburgh at Boston College · ESPN2
Virginia at SMU · The CW Network
Ohio State at Indiana · FOX
Northwestern at Michigan State · Peacock
Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN
Ball State at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Rutgers at Maryland · BTN
Charlotte at Temple · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Buffalo · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Auburn at Georgia
Missouri at Ole Miss
Alabama at Tennessee
Arizona State at Texas Tech · FOX
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
North Carolina at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network
UNLV at Air Force · CBSSN
Toledo at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Akron at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Tulsa at Rice · ESPN+
Troy at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network
Arkansas at Vanderbilt · ESPN2
TCU at Baylor · FS1
Florida State at Miami · ESPN
Kent State at South Florida · ESPN+
Nevada at North Dakota State · CBSSN
Arkansas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Kentucky at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Notre Dame at BYU · ABC
Oklahoma State at Houston · FOX
Louisville at Syracuse · ACC Network
Navy at UTSA · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · ESPN+
San José State at UTEP · MW+
Ohio at Sacramento State · ESPN+
Your rooting list:James Madison, then Hawai'i, Texas, San Diego State, Old Dominion.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.