James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-6 job: beat Georgia Southern.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Your game. Beat Georgia Southern and your playoff odds are 40%; lose and they drop to 16%.
James Madison 84%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Old Dominion at App State
App State visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Old Dominion 76%
TBD
THU OCT 8
South Florida at UTSA
UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
UTSA 52%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
UConn at Temple
UConn visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
UConn 79%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Sun Belt race: Marshall losing helps your spot in the standings; Coastal Carolina visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Marshall 82%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Boise State at Fresno State
Fresno State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Fresno State 57%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
San Diego State at Oregon State
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.