James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Southern Miss.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
THU NOV 5
James Madison at Southern Miss
Your game. Beat Southern Miss and your playoff odds are 40%; lose and they drop to 14%.
James Madison 86%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Old Dominion 79%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Sun Belt race: Louisiana Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Troy 57%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
North Carolina at UConn
UConn visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
UConn 83%
TBD
FRI NOV 6
South Florida at East Carolina
East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
South Florida 55%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Texas State at Oregon State
Oregon State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Texas State 76%
55 more games that don't move your needle
Cincinnati at Houston
Marshall at Georgia Southern
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Georgia at Ole Miss
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Iowa at Northwestern
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Miami at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.