James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-11 job: beat UConn.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
James Madison at UConn
Your game. Beat UConn and your playoff odds are 48%; lose and they drop to 23%.
James Madison 51%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU NOV 12
Memphis at South Florida
Memphis winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
South Florida 78%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Middle Tennessee winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Liberty 81%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt race: Louisiana Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Louisiana Tech 73%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Baylor at BYU
Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
BYU 79%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
California at Virginia
California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Virginia 81%
59 more games that don't move your needle
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
UNLV at New Mexico
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Houston at Colorado
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Missouri at Georgia
Florida at Kentucky
Texas at LSU
Auburn at Mississippi State
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Alabama at Vanderbilt
Duke at Miami
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
USC at Indiana
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Washington at Michigan State
Northwestern at Ohio State
Michigan at Oregon
Minnesota at Penn State
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.