James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
88%
Sun Belt title game
74%
Win the Sun Belt
75%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.3
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat Marshall.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Marshall at James Madison
Your game. Beat Marshall and your playoff odds are 77%; lose and they drop to 45%.
James Madison 92%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Georgia State visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Old Dominion 88%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 2
Penn State at Northwestern
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Penn State 83%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Miami at Clemson
Seeding watch: Clemson winning moves you from around the 9th seed toward the 9th — a friendlier bracket.
Miami 64%
51 more games that don't move your needle
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
Texas Tech at Colorado
West Virginia at Iowa State
Boston College at SMU
California at UNLV
Louisville at NC State
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Virginia at Florida State
Purdue at Illinois
Ohio State at Iowa
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Army at Louisiana Tech
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.