James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat App State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
THU OCT 22
James Madison at App State
Your game. Beat App State and your playoff odds are 39%; lose and they drop to 16%.
James Madison 88%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Sun Belt race: Louisiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Southern Miss visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Southern Miss 56%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Rutgers at Northwestern
Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Northwestern 69%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
BYU at UCF
UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
BYU 65%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Sun Belt race: Arkansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Arkansas State 76%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
North Texas at Navy
Navy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
North Texas 51%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Old Dominion 59%
47 more games that don't move your needle
South Alabama at Marshall
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.