James Madison Dukes
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 3 · 2026
79%
Sun Belt title game
62%
Win the Sun Belt
36%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-3 job: beat San Diego State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 19
James Madison at San Diego State
Your game. Beat San Diego State and your playoff odds are 41%; lose and they drop to 26%.
James Madison 66%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 19
East Carolina at Old Dominion
Old Dominion visits your schedule in week 4 — keep them ranked.
Old Dominion 65%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Fresno State at San José State
San José State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Fresno State 77%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State
Georgia Southern visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.
Jacksonville State 72%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Virginia Tech at Maryland
Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Maryland 67%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Charlotte at App State
App State visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
App State 74%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Marshall at Missouri State
Marshall visits your schedule in week 5 — keep them ranked.
Marshall 54%
49 more games that don't move your needle
Syracuse at Pittsburgh
Miami at Wake Forest
Florida State at Alabama
Georgia at Arkansas
Florida at Auburn
Troy at Missouri
New Mexico at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at South Carolina
Kennesaw State at Tennessee
UTSA at Texas
Kentucky at Texas A&M
NC State at Vanderbilt
Tulane at Kansas State
Northern Illinois at Arizona
BYU at Colorado State
Colorado at Northwestern
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
Bowling Green at Iowa State
Arkansas State at TCU
Georgia State at UCF
Utah State at Utah
Virginia at West Virginia
Houston at Texas Tech
Kansas at Arizona State
North Carolina at Clemson
SMU at Louisville
Stanford at Duke
Western Kentucky at Indiana
UTEP at Michigan
Akron at Minnesota
Kent State at Ohio State
Buffalo at Penn State
USC at Rutgers
Purdue at UCLA
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin
North Texas at Texas State
UConn at Southern Miss
Florida International at Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan at Rice
Temple at Toledo
UAB at Louisiana
Nevada at Middle Tennessee
Wyoming at Central Michigan
Ball State at Liberty
Ohio at South Alabama
Louisiana Tech at Baylor
Coastal Carolina at Delaware
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Michigan State at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.